Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.