SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
| 46.08% | 26.63% | 27.3% |
| Both teams to score 48.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.54% | 55.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% | 76.65% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% | 24.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.71% | 58.29% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.37% | 35.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.61% | 72.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.58% Total : 46.07% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2% Total : 27.3% |
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