Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
