Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
