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League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
LO

Gillingham
2 - 0
Leyton Orient

MacDonald (16'), Alexander (76' pen.)
Ehmer (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wellens (15'), Pratley (21'), Smyth (26'), Hunt (45+3'), Turns (73')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Leyton Orient.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Stockport
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.03%) and 1-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawLeyton Orient
30.28% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 29.41% (0.032 0.03) 40.31% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 42.88% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.17% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)63.82% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.94% (-0.061 -0.06)83.06% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.18% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)37.82% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.4% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)74.59% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)31.04% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (-0.108 -0.11)67.36% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 30.27%
    Leyton Orient 40.31%
    Draw 29.4%
GillinghamDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 30.27%
1-1 @ 13.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.74% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.4%
0-1 @ 13.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Stockport
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Gillingham
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Doncaster
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-1 Gillingham
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 Crewe
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-2 Harrogate
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Leyton Orient
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-2 Colchester
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two


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