Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 43.14%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.