Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leyton Orient in this match.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
