Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
0.49) 
-0.17) 
