Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
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