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League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
AW

Newport
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Charsley (69')
Farquharson (18'), Norman (61'), Lewis (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Al-Hamadi (5')
Currie (63'), McAteer (70'), Woodyard (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 1-1 Bradford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

Both sides will be fired up for this affair, as it is a close matchup that could be used as a platform for either side to springboard off and finish the season on a high. However, we believe that Newport will be frustrated to a third consecutive draw, while Wimbledon's record without a win will extend to nine games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
47.42% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 28.12% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.71% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.71% (0.033999999999999 0.03)62.29% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.05% (0.023999999999997 0.02)81.95% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.028999999999996 0.03)26.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38% (0.038999999999994 0.04)61.62% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)41.93% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 47.41%
    AFC Wimbledon 24.45%
    Draw 28.11%
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 14.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 47.41%
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.11%
0-1 @ 9.64% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 24.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Bradford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Newport
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Newport
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-2 Sutton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-1 Newport
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Newport
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-3 Stevenage
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two


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