Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
1.3) 
-0.48) 
