Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.03) 
