SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | Harrogate Town |
54.24% ( 0.52) | 23.28% ( -0.39) | 22.48% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.42% ( 1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.11% ( 1.52) | 45.9% ( -1.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.79% ( 1.43) | 68.21% ( -1.42) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.18% ( 0.75) | 16.83% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.19% ( 1.32) | 46.82% ( -1.31) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.43% ( 0.73) | 34.57% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.71% ( 0.76) | 71.3% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stockport County | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.07% Total : 54.24% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.28% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 5.85% 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 22.48% |
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