Harrogate need just one more point to confirm their status as a League Two side for next season, and we expect them to get it, considering Newport have nothing to play for at this point.
The Exiles have looked more solid in recent weeks, but they have struggled at home for the vast majority of the season, and that record is likely to continue on Tuesday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
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