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League Two | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 1pm UK
Victoria Park
BC

Hartlepool
1 - 3
Bradford

Ferguson (17')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Banks (6'), Cook (65', 90+2')
Smallwood (45+2'), Banks (54')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Bradford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawBradford City
31.08% (-0.656 -0.66) 28.17% (-0.457 -0.46) 40.75% (1.112 1.11)
Both teams to score 46.46% (1.061 1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.48% (1.417 1.42)59.52% (-1.419 -1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.13% (1.075 1.08)79.87% (-1.077 -1.08)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.13% (0.27800000000001 0.28)34.87% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.39% (0.29 0.29)71.61% (-0.292 -0.29)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (1.33 1.33)28.66% (-1.332 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52% (1.631 1.63)64.48% (-1.632 -1.63)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 31.07%
    Bradford City 40.75%
    Draw 28.16%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.5 -0.5)
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.55% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.43% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 31.07%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 9.99% (-0.546 -0.55)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.152 0.15)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 12.49% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 7.8% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.217 0.22)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.182 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.127 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.104 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 40.75%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Tranmere
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Blackburn 4-0 Hartlepool
Wednesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 4-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Sunderland
Monday, July 25 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Bradford
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Newport
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-1 Hull City
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Barrow 3-2 Bradford
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 0-0 Doncaster
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1


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