Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
-0.66) 
1.11) 
