Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 49.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
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