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League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Brisbane Road
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Leyton Orient
4 - 1
Swindon

Drinan (19', 60'), Smith (64', 82')
Clay (12'), Kemp (45+2'), Beckles (56'), Ogie (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McKirdy (42')
McKirdy (64'), Reed (83'), (83')

We said: Leyton Orient 2-2 Swindon Town

There is very little to separate these two teams at the moment in terms of form and how they have played throughout the entire season, which is reflected by their league positions. The match is an important one for each club as they continue their respective bids for promotion, but this is one that could easily result in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawSwindon Town
39.11%28.5%32.39%
Both teams to score 45.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.64%60.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.49%80.51%
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99%30.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86%66.14%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.63%34.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.93%71.07%
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 39.11%
    Swindon Town 32.38%
    Draw 28.48%
Leyton OrientDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 12.41%
2-1 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 0.96%
4-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 39.11%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.48%
0-1 @ 11.01%
1-2 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 5.88%
1-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 32.38%

Read more!
Read more!


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