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ST
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2021 at 7pm UK
The County Ground
NC

Swindon
1 - 0
Newport

Lyden (57')
Minturn (19')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Missilou (21'), Hylton (53'), Upson (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
27.67%23.83%48.51%
Both teams to score 58.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.38%43.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.99%66.02%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9%29.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97%65.03%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88%18.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.93%49.08%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 27.67%
    Newport County 48.51%
    Draw 23.83%
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 6.86%
1-0 @ 6.51%
2-0 @ 4.02%
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 1.65%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 27.67%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-1 @ 9.01%
0-2 @ 7.69%
1-3 @ 5.41%
0-3 @ 4.38%
2-3 @ 3.34%
1-4 @ 2.31%
0-4 @ 1.87%
2-4 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 48.51%

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