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EFL Trophy | Second Round
Nov 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
CU

Swindon
1 - 2
Colchester

Crichlow (45+1')
Francis (45+2'), Dabre (82')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Chambers (6', 11')
Judge (14'), Smith (40'), Jasper (55'), McCoulsky (90+1')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Swindon Town and Colchester United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
35.59%26.08%38.33%
Both teams to score 53.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.44%50.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.52%72.48%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64%27.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.18%62.82%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21%25.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.26%60.74%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 35.59%
    Colchester United 38.33%
    Draw 26.08%
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 9.15%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 5.93%
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-0 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 35.59%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.06%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 9.56%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 2.46%
1-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 38.33%

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