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League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
ST

Newport
1 - 2
Swindon

Telford (74')
Demetriou (32'), Dolan (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Azaz (73' og.), Payne (88')
Gladwin (69'), Reed (82')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawSwindon Town
39.68%26.72%33.59%
Both teams to score 51.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49%53.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97%75.03%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42%61.58%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96%30.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84%66.16%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 39.68%
    Swindon Town 33.59%
    Draw 26.72%
Newport CountyDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 39.68%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 7.93%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.54%
1-2 @ 7.64%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 33.59%

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