We can envisage an entertaining affair in Wiltshire on Saturday, with the hosts likely to come out on top.
Swindon's home form has been impressive in recent weeks, with Crewe's tough slog against hapless Colchester last weekend hardly inspiring confidence that they can avoid defeat.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
0.21) 
-0.04) 
