Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
69.49% ( 0.21) | 18.99% ( -0.04) | 11.52% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 44.86% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.42% ( -0.22) | 46.58% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.15% ( -0.21) | 68.85% ( 0.21) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.75% ( -0) | 12.25% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.03% ( -0.01) | 37.98% ( 0.02) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.13% ( -0.42) | 48.87% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.14% ( -0.3) | 83.86% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-0 @ 13.19% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 69.48% | 1-1 @ 9% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.62% Total : 18.99% | 0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 11.52% |
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