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League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
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Mansfield
2 - 1
Colchester

Swan (34'), Akins (90+2')
Hawkins (29'), Swan (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Newby (10')
Chambers (85'), Dallison (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Colchester United

Mansfield have been in poor form in recent weeks, but this game serves as a good opportunity to get their season back on track. The Stags do not have a great defensive record, so they may concede, but they should have too much quality for Colchester to contend with. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 15.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawColchester United
62.4% (-0.892 -0.89) 22.59% (0.398 0.4) 15.01% (0.498 0.5)
Both teams to score 43.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38% (-0.615 -0.62)53.62% (0.619 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (-0.522 -0.52)75.12% (0.52500000000001 0.53)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (-0.514 -0.51)16.72% (0.52 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.38% (-0.935 -0.93)46.62% (0.937 0.94)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.34% (0.348 0.35)47.66% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.02% (0.254 0.25)82.98% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 62.39%
    Colchester United 15.01%
    Draw 22.59%
Mansfield TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 14.25% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 12.74% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.6% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 62.39%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.191 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.59%
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.198 0.2)
1-2 @ 3.91% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 15.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Everton U21s 2-1 Mansfield
Wednesday, November 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Mansfield
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Bradford
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Wednesday, November 23 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Colchester 3-0 Doncaster
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-0 Colchester
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barrow 3-1 Colchester
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two


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