Crewe Alexandra will arrive with plenty of confidence having put a run of results together after a tough year, but a trip to Oakwell will likely be a step too far, and we see them falling short against a strong and improving Tykes side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
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