Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 49.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 24.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.