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League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
R

Doncaster
4 - 3
Rochdale

Seaman (6'), Close (9'), Biggins (37'), Anderson (81')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Rodney (14'), Williams (16' og.), Sinclair (77')
Ebanks-Landell (27')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Rochdale

Rochdale are a team in the need of points right now considering the fact they are in the relegation zone, and with Doncaster's current poor form this could be an ideal game. However, with Rovers having the home advantage, this could end up being another difficult fixture for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawRochdale
42.63% (0.248 0.25) 28.42% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 28.95% (-0.268 -0.27)
Both teams to score 44.9% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.96% (-0.16 -0.16)61.04% (0.158 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.97% (-0.121 -0.12)81.02% (0.12 0.12)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (0.057000000000002 0.06)28.35% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (0.074999999999996 0.07)64.08% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-0.302 -0.3)37.33% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.297 -0.3)74.11% (0.295 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 42.62%
    Rochdale 28.94%
    Draw 28.41%
Doncaster RoversDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 13.33% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 42.62%
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.58% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 10.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 28.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Tranmere 3-0 Doncaster
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Doncaster
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-2 Walsall
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 3-0 Doncaster
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 Doncaster
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 King's Lynn
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Hartlepool
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-4 Harrogate
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-0 Salford City
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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