In pursuit of their first victory in three matches, Doncaster Rovers will again look to top scorer George Miller if they are to get anything from a tricky expedition to Newport County.
However, a share of the spoils could be the most likely outcome, with both sides currently hovering within the mid-table mediocrity of League Two.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.02) 
