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League Two | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
OA

Mansfield
4 - 1
Oldham

Sinclair (12'), Lapslie (38', 80'), Reid (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dearnley (51')
Clarke (77')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Oldham Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 52.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 22.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawOldham Athletic
52.52%24.86%22.62%
Both teams to score 49.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.74%52.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04%73.96%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12%19.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.01%51.99%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.01%37.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.24%74.75%
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 52.51%
    Oldham Athletic 22.62%
    Draw 24.85%
Mansfield TownDrawOldham Athletic
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-0 @ 9.85%
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 5.31%
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 52.51%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.31%
1-2 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.49%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 22.62%

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