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Sunday, April 28
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League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 17, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Globe Arena
OA

Morecambe
4 - 3
Oldham

Mendes Gomes (5', 53'), Wildig (42'), Stockton (45+1')
FT(HT: 3-1)
McAleny (39'), Borthwick-Jackson (78'), Jameson (88')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Oldham Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawOldham Athletic
45.78%24.6%29.62%
Both teams to score 56.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.09%45.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.78%68.22%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85%20.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57%52.43%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11%28.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23%64.77%
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 45.78%
    Oldham Athletic 29.62%
    Draw 24.59%
MorecambeDrawOldham Athletic
1-0 @ 9.33%
2-1 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 4.95%
3-0 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 3.08%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 45.78%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 5.82%
2-2 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 7.23%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 1.86%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.62%

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