Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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