Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 12.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.21%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
0.28) 
-0.4) 
