SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | MK Dons |
37.55% ( -0) | 26.64% ( -0.01) | 35.81% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.07% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.09% ( 0.02) | 52.9% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.49% ( 0.02) | 74.51% ( -0.02) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% ( 0.01) | 27.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.22% ( 0.01) | 62.78% ( -0.01) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% ( 0.02) | 28.35% ( -0.02) |
