Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
0.19) 
-0.4) 
