Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
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