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League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
NC

MK Dons
1 - 1
Notts County

Harvie (46')
Smith (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cameron (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 3-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-2 Notts County

As the only team in the division to have won their last three league matches, the momentum is very much with the visitors ahead of this contest. However, their respective records suggest that this could be a back-and-forth goalfest, one which may end in a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawNotts County
28.23% (-0.116 -0.12) 23.32% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 48.44% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 60.23% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (-0.172 -0.17)40.93% (0.171 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (-0.176 -0.18)63.32% (0.175 0.17)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-0.17 -0.17)27.33% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (-0.22 -0.22)62.78% (0.219 0.22)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.88% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)17.12% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.66% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)47.33% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 28.23%
    Notts County 48.44%
    Draw 23.32%
MK DonsDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 28.23%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.56% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.29% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.89% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 48.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crewe 3-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 4-1 Chelsea U21s
Tuesday, August 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Doncaster
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-3 MK Dons
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-0 Notts County
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 Lincoln
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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