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League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
WA

Morecambe
1 - 3
Wrexham

Garner (4')
Melbourne (39'), Songo'o (42'), Edwards (63')
Melbourne (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McClean (32'), Mullin (55' pen.), Fletcher (80')
Barnett (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Crawley
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 4-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Wrexham

Morecambe have made progressive strides in recent weeks, while Wrexham returned to winning ways in their last match in emphatic fashion, so this should be an entertaining game. However, Parkinson's side are considerably stronger at home than they are away, so we can envisage both sides settling for a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawWrexham
31.66% (-0.148 -0.15) 26.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 42.22% (0.199 0.2)
Both teams to score 52.82% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.47% (0.158 0.16)51.53% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.67% (0.135 0.14)73.33% (-0.134 -0.13)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)30.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)66.51% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (0.169 0.17)24.19% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48% (0.241 0.24)58.52% (-0.238 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 31.66%
    Wrexham 42.22%
    Draw 26.12%
MorecambeDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 31.66%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 10.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.39% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.17% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 42.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Crawley
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 3-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-3 Morecambe
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 4-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-2 Wrexham
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League Two


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