Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
