Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Southampton
33.89%	27.32%	38.78%

Both teams to score 49.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.16%

55.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.04%

76.96%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99%

31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68%

67.31%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.99%

28.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.34%

63.66%

Score Analysis

Newport County 33.89%

Southampton 38.78%

Draw 27.32%

Newport County	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 7.58% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.89%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.32%	0-1 @ 11.05% 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-2 @ 7.03% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.78%