Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
