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NC
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 31, 2021 at 7pm UK
Rodney Parade
PA

Newport
2 - 0
Plymouth

Telford (58'), Abraham (84')
Bright (66'), Livermore (68'), Lewis (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Randell (34'), Jenkins (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawPlymouth Argyle
54.25%26.45%19.3%
Both teams to score 41.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.84%61.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.88%81.11%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21%22.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.51%56.49%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.35%46.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.78%82.22%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 54.24%
    Plymouth Argyle 19.3%
    Draw 26.44%
Newport CountyDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 15.72%
2-0 @ 11.62%
2-1 @ 8.87%
3-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 4.37%
4-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 54.24%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 10.63%
2-2 @ 3.38%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 8.11%
1-2 @ 4.57%
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 19.3%

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