Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 51.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
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