Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.07) 
