Rarely have Sheffield United entered a fixture this season as favourites, but Saturday's contest is one that they will not be considered as underdogs, although success against a resurgent Gillingham side is not a given.
The Gills have made themselves difficult to beat in recent weeks under Clemence, but we believe that their Premier League counterparts will do just enough to claim a slender victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.02) 
