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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
SU

Gillingham
0 - 4
Sheff Utd


Coleman (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Osula (14', 39'), McAtee (83', 87')
Thomas (41')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Gillingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Gillingham 0-1 Sheffield United

Rarely have Sheffield United entered a fixture this season as favourites, but Saturday's contest is one that they will not be considered as underdogs, although success against a resurgent Gillingham side is not a given. The Gills have made themselves difficult to beat in recent weeks under Clemence, but we believe that their Premier League counterparts will do just enough to claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSheffield United
48.99% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 25.08% (-0.02 -0.02) 25.92% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.68% (0.055999999999997 0.06)50.32% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73% (0.048000000000002 0.05)72.27% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (0.051000000000002 0.05)20.56% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.92% (0.079000000000001 0.08)53.08% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)33.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 48.99%
    Sheffield United 25.92%
    Draw 25.08%
GillinghamDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 11.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.74% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.61% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 48.99%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 25.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Gillingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Sutton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Crawley
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-0 Gillingham
Friday, December 22 at 7pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Bradford
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-3 Luton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Sheff Utd
Friday, December 22 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Brentford
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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