Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
