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League Two | Gameweek 39
Apr 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
EC

Port Vale
1 - 0
Exeter

FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawExeter City
30.65%26.75%42.6%
Both teams to score 50.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.59%54.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.21%75.79%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5%32.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97%69.03%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72%25.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.95%60.05%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 30.65%
    Exeter City 42.59%
    Draw 26.74%
Port ValeDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.24%
2-1 @ 7.14%
2-0 @ 5.19%
3-1 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 30.65%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.22%
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 11.3%
1-2 @ 8.73%
0-2 @ 7.77%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 42.59%

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