SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Morecambe |
56.6% ( 0.03) | 24.64% ( 0.04) | 18.76% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.99% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.33% ( -0.22) | 55.67% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.18% ( -0.18) | 76.82% ( 0.18) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.41% ( -0.07) | 19.6% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.47% ( -0.12) | 51.53% ( 0.12) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.96% ( -0.2) | 44.04% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.84% ( -0.17) | 80.16% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 14.06% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 56.59% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 18.76% |
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