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League Two | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
M

Port Vale
1 - 0
Morecambe

Smith (34')
Oyeleke (14'), Brisley (26'), Rodney (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lavelle (34')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Morecambe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawMorecambe
43.37%27.71%28.92%
Both teams to score 46.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.38%58.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.82%79.17%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19%26.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9%62.1%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.97%36.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.19%72.81%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 43.36%
    Morecambe 28.92%
    Draw 27.71%
Port ValeDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 12.71%
2-1 @ 8.54%
2-0 @ 8.37%
3-1 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 43.36%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 9.66%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 9.86%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 28.92%

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