Morecambe have the worst home record in League Two this season, picking up just three points from seven games, while Port Vale have the strongest away record, boasting 16 points from eight matches. We are actually expecting it to be tight in terms of the scoreline on Saturday, but we are backing Port Vale to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Morecambe has a probability of 27.77% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Morecambe win is 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.31%).

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Port Vale
27.77% ( 4.41)	25.9% ( 1.79)	46.32% ( -6.21)

Both teams to score 51.38% (

-1.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.59% (

-3.89)

52.41% (

3.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.91% (

-3.44)

74.09% (

3.44)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.38% (

1.61)

33.62% (

-1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.73% (

1.71)

70.26% (

-1.72)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.4% (

-4.16)

22.6% (

4.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.79% (

-6.6)

56.21% (

6.6)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 27.77%

Port Vale 46.32%

Draw 25.9%

Morecambe	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 8.28% ( 1.51) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.74) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.98) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.41) Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.77%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.86) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 1.1) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 1% Total : 25.9%	0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.88) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.92) 0-3 @ 4.17% ( -1.07) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.37) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.62) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.66) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.28) Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.32%