Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
