We said: Rochdale 2-2 Port Vale
There is good reason for either side to be a little rusty this week, as they have both experienced an enforced mid-winter break due to the current circumstances.
Earlier this month, the two teams were already faltering, so perhaps a score draw would be an acceptable result for a pair of capable attacking sides.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
