Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 50.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 23.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
