Barrow can afford to play without fear in their final few games of the season and have certainly turned up the heat in recent weeks, but performances away from home is still a sticky point for the visitors.
Meanwhile, Exeter continue to dominate on their own turf and will be determined to complete the job before meeting Northampton, and we expect the promotion party to begin on Tuesday night as Exeter claim the three points necessary to join Forest Green in League One.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
