Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 23.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
