Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
